Originators Enjoyed Prosperous Fourth Quarter, But Will it Last?
Written By: Joel Palmer, Op-Ed Writer
A provider of cloud-based software for mortgage lenders reported that total mortgage loan volume funded more than doubled between the fourth quarter of 2019 and the same period in 2020.
The data on mortgage industry incentive compensation and loan originator commissions was provided by LBA Ware, which provides incentive compensation management and business intelligence software for the mortgage industry.
The firm's data analysis showed that robust refinance and purchase loan volume in the fourth quarter contributed to markedly higher earnings for both loan originators and mortgage processors in 2020 when compared to the same period in 2019.
Among LBA Ware’s findings:
Total loan volume funded was 106 percent higher in the fourth quarter of last year than in the same period the previous year.
To meet the growing demand, loan originator headcount increased 27 percent year-over-year, while mortgage processor headcount increased 51 percent year-over-year. Processors handled nearly double the number of loan files in the fourth quarter of 2020 than in the same period in 2019.
Average individual production was 63 percent higher, while per-loan originator commissions held steady.
Quarterly purchase volume grew 71 percent, while refinance volume jumped 158 percent.
Per-loan bonus compensation earned by mortgage processors increased 21 percent to $128 per loan in Q4 2020 versus $106 in 2019. Processors earned an average production bonus of $2,503 per month, up from $1,569 in 2019.
On average, originators funded $20.4 million in annual volume in 2020, with transactions split evenly between purchase loans and refinance loans.
Per-loan commissions earned by originators in 2020 averaged 105.5 basis points.
“Low interest rates flamed an increased demand for mortgage activity, which in turn benefited LOs and processors. They were rewarded for their long hours with robust compensation checks,” said LBA Ware Founder and CEO Lori Brewer.
“As rates are predicted to rise in 2021 and for several years to come, loan teams that wish to maintain their earnings would do well to put a strategy in place that enables them to offset waning refi volume with more purchase volume.”
Higher mortgage rates isn’t the only market condition that could have long-term impact on mortgage processors and mortgage underwriters.
The lack of inventory has been highly publicized, and the low level of supply has pushed housing prices up and likely prevented even more volume for mortgage originators.
Recent data released by Black Knight show the number of existing homes for sale is at a 20-year low.
The main cause of this phenomenon, according to Black Knight, is the COVID-19 pandemic. The company noted that during April and May of last year, the traditional peak months of home listings, the number of homes coming on the market fell 45 percent. New listings have continued to run below previous monthly levels since the onset of the pandemic last March.
The lack of inventory for sale is having a domino effect, said Black Knight. Current homeowners realize that the market has been ripe for sellers in the past year. However, many current homeowners are hesitant to list their homes out of concern they won’t be able to find a replacement home that meets their needs and preferences for a decent price.
In addition, the increase in remote work due to the pandemic means homeowners don’t necessarily have to relocate for career moves.
So while LBA Ware says lenders must determine ways to increase purchase volume, that might be difficult if homeowners continue to balk at selling because of the lack of inventory. Their hesitance will continue to keep inventory low, which will continue keeping potential sellers on the sidelines. It would take a major increase in new home construction to break this cycle.
“As has been made obvious in the past year, the COVID-19 pandemic has fundamentally shifted many market forces, and low inventory is just one part of the story,” Black Knight said in its report. “However, the ripple effect felt by the remarkably low number of available homes for sale will continue to impact the market in various ways.”
About the Author
As an NAMU® Opinion Editorial Contributor, Joel Palmer is a freelance writer who spent 10 years as a business and financial reporter and another 10 years in marketing for the insurance and financial services industries. He regularly writes about the mortgage industry, as well as residential and commercial real estate, investments, and retirement income planning. He has also ghostwritten books on starting a business, marketing, and retirement income planning.