The mortgage industry will face its share of challenges, opportunities and unknowns in 2025. Here are a few trends on the horizon: Perhaps the biggest unknown for mortgage underwriters and processors is the effect of a second Donald Trump administration on the industry. The Biden administration’s priority in the housing sector was making housing more affordable and accessible. Vice President Harris and Trump both indicated a desire to make housing more affordable using different approaches.
An analysis by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has concluded that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are in better financial position to repay the U.S. Treasury for its stake in the enterprises than they were four years ago. CBO conducted updated analysis on the effects of recapitalizing the GSEs at the request of the House Financial Services Committee. The original analysis was conducted in August 2020, while the CBO released its updated findings last week.
Mortgage underwriters and processors can offer larger FHA mortgage loans and loans that conform to FHFA limits next year. Both agencies announced higher loan limits last week. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) announced that conforming loan limit values (CLLs) for mortgages acquired by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will be $806,500 for one-unit properties in most of the United States in 2025.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac produced profitable third quarter financial results consistent with recent trends. The government-sponsored enterprises released third-quarter results last week, with Fannie Mae reporting a $4 billion quarterly profit and Freddie Mac reporting $3.1 billion in net income.
Home sales are on the decline despite lower mortgage rates and increasing supply, with the latest projections indicating a 30-year low for this year. Real estate brokerage Redfin reported that existing home sales fell 3.1 percent year over year in August to their lowest mark since May 2020, when the pandemic brought the housing market to a standstill. Removing that month, August sales were the lowest since 2012.
As mortgage rates increase, the outlook for the mortgage market gets more pessimistic. In its latest commentary released last week, Fannie Mae’s Economic and Strategic Research Group has lowered its existing home sales outlook through 2023, based on its mortgage application data. Fannie now projects 2022 total year existing sales to decline 16.5 percent from 2021, followed by a further decline of 13.3 percent in 2023.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMU® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMU® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMU® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMU®. Nothing contained in this articles should be considered legal advice.
After reaping the benefits of an unexpected housing boom during the height of the COVID pandemic, mortgage underwriters and processors are witnessing more signs that a significant slowdown is imminent. Real estate brokerage firm Redfin reported that the average sale-to-list ratio fell below 100 percent for the first time since March 2021.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMU® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMU® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMU® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMU®. Nothing contained in this articles should be considered legal advice.
Fannie Mae’s latest monthly economic report has several positive pieces of information, however each one has a big “but” attached to it.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMU® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMU® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMU® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMU®. Nothing contained in this articles should be considered legal advice.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac seemingly passed their annual stress tests, with one independent analysis saying this year’s results demonstrates that the GSEs, combined, “have undergone a surprisingly large de-risking during their years in conservatorship.” Last week, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) released the results of the annual stress tests that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are required to conduct under the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMU® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMU® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMU® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMU®. Nothing contained in this articles should be considered legal advice.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac reported significantly lower net income in the second quarter compared with the same period a year ago. Fannie Mae booked net income of $4.6 billion in the second quarter of this year, down 35 percent from the $7.2 billion it earned in the second quarter of 2021. However, its quarterly income was comparable the previous three quarters and was 6 percent higher than the first quarter of this year.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMU® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMU® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMU® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMU®. Nothing contained in this articles should be considered legal advice.
Republican members of the House Subcommittee on Housing, Community Development, and Insurance, have asked the director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) to be more involved in the approval of new products issued by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The group sent a letter earlier this month to FHFA Director Sandra Thompson urging the newly confirmed director to finalize a rule titled “Prior Approval of Enterprise Products.”
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMU® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMU® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMU® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMU®. Nothing contained in this articles should be considered legal advice.
Freddie Mac announced that it will consider on-time rent payments as part of its mortgage loan purchase decisions. The option will be available on July 10 through the Freddie Mac Loan Product Advisor (LPA) automated underwriting system.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMU® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMU® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMU® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMU®. Nothing contained in this articles should be considered legal advice.
Fannie Mae economists expect increasing inflation and higher interest rates to further weigh on economic growth and home sales this year. Fannie’s Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group has downgraded previous estimates for economic growth, home sales and mortgage originations for 2022.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMU® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMU® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMU® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMU®. Nothing contained in this articles should be considered legal advice.
The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) has published another final rule related to the Enterprise Regulatory Capital Framework (ERCF). Last week, FHFA released a final rule, proposed in December 2021, that requires Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to submit annual capital plans to the agency and provide notice prior to taking certain capital actions.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMU® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMU® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMU® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMU®. Nothing contained in this articles should be considered legal advice.
Economists at Fannie Mae are becoming increasingly pessimistic about home sales, mortgage origination volume and the overall economy over the next two years. Fannie’s Economic and Strategic Research Group released its May commentary last week, in which it significantly downgraded previous forecasts for GDP, home sales and mortgage originations.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMU® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMU® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMU® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMU®. Nothing contained in this articles should be considered legal advice.
Written By: Stacey Sprain
As an FHA originator, processor or underwriter, it’s likely that in the ongoing foreclosure market you’ll run across a HUD REO loan at some point. The purpose of this multi-part article is to provide you with some useful information to help in your endeavors.