Fannie Mae economists interpret a recent rise in the 10-year Treasury yield as a sign that home sales are far from rebounding from 30-year lows. In Fannie’s first monthly commentary of 2025, its Economic and Strategic Research Group raised its forecast on where 30-year mortgage rates will land by the end of the year. Fannie now sees rates closing this year at 6.5 percent instead of its previous forecast of 6.2 percent.
The mortgage industry will face its share of challenges, opportunities and unknowns in 2025. Here are a few trends on the horizon: Perhaps the biggest unknown for mortgage underwriters and processors is the effect of a second Donald Trump administration on the industry. The Biden administration’s priority in the housing sector was making housing more affordable and accessible. Vice President Harris and Trump both indicated a desire to make housing more affordable using different approaches.
An analysis by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has concluded that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are in better financial position to repay the U.S. Treasury for its stake in the enterprises than they were four years ago. CBO conducted updated analysis on the effects of recapitalizing the GSEs at the request of the House Financial Services Committee. The original analysis was conducted in August 2020, while the CBO released its updated findings last week.
Mortgage underwriters and processors can offer larger FHA mortgage loans and loans that conform to FHFA limits next year. Both agencies announced higher loan limits last week. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) announced that conforming loan limit values (CLLs) for mortgages acquired by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will be $806,500 for one-unit properties in most of the United States in 2025.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac produced profitable third quarter financial results consistent with recent trends. The government-sponsored enterprises released third-quarter results last week, with Fannie Mae reporting a $4 billion quarterly profit and Freddie Mac reporting $3.1 billion in net income.
Homeowners originated an increasing volume of mortgage loans in the second quarter of this year, but buyers are starting to cool to the market potential. The New York Federal Reserve’s second quarter report on Household Debt and Credit showed that mortgage balances shown on consumer credit reports stood at $9.78 trillion on June 30. This was a $63 billion increase from the first quarter.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMU® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMU® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMU® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMU®. Nothing contained in this articles should be considered legal advice.
Fannie Mae economists believe the housing market has already hit its pandemic-related bottom. Fannie said in its latest housing and economic outlook last week that the latest data points to continued improvement.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMU® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMU® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMU® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMU®. Nothing contained in this articles should be considered legal advice.
Last week, FICO launched its Resilience Index to help lenders predict how resilient a person’s credit may be in the event of an economic downturn. FICO said the new index identifies borrowers that have more resilient credit during “an unexpected economic disruption,” such as the current COVID-19 pandemic. FICO noted that credit access tightens during down economies as lenders mitigate credit risk.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMU® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMU® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMU® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMU®. Nothing contained in this articles should be considered legal advice.
Fannie Mae said its long-term outlook for the housing market is “cautiously optimistic.” On the one hand, purchase applications have rebounded since April, when the COVID-19 pandemic all but halted real estate transactions. Purchase activity plummeted 30 percent at its lowest point.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMU® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMU® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMU® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMU®. Nothing contained in this articles should be considered legal advice.
The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) released updated documents last week as part of its transition away from using the LIBOR index on financial products, including mortgages. The bureau released an updated version of its Consumer Handbook on Adjustable Rate Mortgages (CHARM). Among the changes is removing references to LIBOR.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMU® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMU® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMU® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMU®. Nothing contained in this articles should be considered legal advice.
Despite a global pandemic that has shut down much of the country’s economy, the process of removing the two government sponsored enterprises (GSEs) took a step forward last week. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) last week released a re-proposal for a new regulatory capital framework for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMU® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMU® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMU® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMU®. Nothing contained in this articles should be considered legal advice.
Fannie Mae extended temporary policies enacted due to COVID-19 just as new research shows increasing reluctance to jump into home buying. Last week, Fannie issued a Lender Letter to single-family sellers that provided updates to policies it enacted on March 31 in response to the pandemic.
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Several recent reports show that the mortgage industry started the year strong before the COVID-19 pandemic slammed on the brakes. According to monthly mortgage performance data from Black Knight Inc., national foreclosure and 90-day delinquency rates set record lows in March.
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Public offerings for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are likely to occur in 2021, once the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s (FHFA) capital rule is in place. This is the timetable provided by FHFA Director Mark A. Calabria at the Credit Union National Association (CUNA) Government Affairs Conference.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMU® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMU® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMU® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMU®. Nothing contained in this articles should be considered legal advice.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac both saw declines in their annual net income last year, but both entities expressed that they had solid financial performances in 2019. Fannie and Freddie reported their fourth quarter and full-year financial results for 2019 last week.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMU® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMU® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMU® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMU®. Nothing contained in this articles should be considered legal advice.
Written By: Stacey Sprain
As an FHA originator, processor or underwriter, it’s likely that in the ongoing foreclosure market you’ll run across a HUD REO loan at some point. The purpose of this multi-part article is to provide you with some useful information to help in your endeavors.